Abstract
A brief review of energy use patterns in three economic sectors; namely, residential, industrial and transport sectors is provided in this paper. The transport sector is the largest energy-consuming sector in Thailand, followed by the industrial and residential sectors, respectively. In order to reduce both imported energy and environmental emissions, energy conservation programs would be implemented. This paper forecasts the growth in energy demand and corresponding emissions to the year 2020 for those three sectors by using a model based on the end-use approach. The energy savings from the energy conservation strategies, such as energy efficiency improvement and energy demand management, are assessed and also the implications on electricity generation expansion planning are examined. The integrated resource planning (IRP) model is used to find the least-cost electricity generation expansion plans. Energy conservation options, including energy efficiency improvement programs, are introduced in the residential and industrial sectors. Public transportation and engine technology improvements are introduced in the transport sector. The effects of energy conservation options are analyzed using a scenario-based approach. The results of analysis reveal that the improvement of public transportation can reduce future energy requirements and CO₂ emissions in 2020 by 635 thousand ton of oil equivalent (toe) and 2024 thousand ton of CO₂ equivalent, respectively. If all options are simultaneously implemented, the potential of energy savings and CO₂ mitigation in 2020 are estimated to be 1240 thousand toe and 3622 thousand ton of CO₂ equivalent, respectively.