Abstract
Analysis of China’s response to North Korea’s grave provocations confirms that China has been adjusting its policy toward North Korea, considering North Korea’s stability and the likelihood of US military intervention while pursuing an engagement with North Korea. China has pursued soft engagement when the likelihood of US military intervention has been low and North Korea has been unstable, semi-hard engagement when the likelihood of US military intervention has been high and North Korea has been stable, and hard engagement when the likelihood of US military intervention has been low and North Korea has been stable. China has increased its pressure on Pyongyang to denuclearize since North Korea’s third nuclear test. However, this is merely hard engagement and cannot result in a fundamental change of China’s policy toward North Korea. Unless China changes its strategic goal to maintaining peace and stability on the Korean Peninsula, it will retain its engagement policies toward North Korea.
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