Abstract
Since 2011, there has been a remarkable transformation in Japanese-Russian relations, crowned by the opening of territorial negotiations. In sharp contrast with the provocative actions and caustic rhetoric of preceding years, the relationship has come to be characterized by a positive atmosphere and constructive engagement. This dramatic turnaround has been driven by a combination of political, economic, and security factors. Not only are Vladimir Putin and Shinzo Abe personally committed to improving bilateral relations, as strong nationalist leaders, they also have the means of ensuring that this goal is fulfilled. Furthermore, the two sides’ complementary economic interests are reinforced by strategic considerations. In particular, fears in Japan over an increasingly assertive China and apprehensions about the U.S. commitment to the region have led Tokyo to explore supplementary security options. Given that these factors are likely to continue to exert influence for some years to come, there is every reason to believe that this recent rapprochement will prove long-lasting.
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