Rising Powers Hold Their Breath for Trump-Kim Summit

Policy Alert #166 | May 29, 2018

The Rising Powers are undoubtedly recovering from whiplash following the off-again-on-again saga of the summit between the US and North Korea scheduled to take place in Singapore on June 12, 2018. Preparations for the Summit soured following a series of ill-timed demonstrations of strength, such as the joint military exercises between the US and South Korea and sabre-rattling rhetoric in North Korea in response, despite acts of goodwill, like North Korea’s demolition of its nuclear test site and US President Donald Trump’s apparent softening of some demands following a meeting with South Korean President Moon Jae-In. Both North Korea and the US threatened to pull out of the Summit in recent weeks, but ultimately it was President Trump who announced that the meeting “will not take place” in an open letter to North Korean leader Chairman Kim Jong Un. Following President Trump’s announcement, President Moon met with Chairman Kim in the unscheduled Second Inter-Korean Summit along the border between the two countries and a US delegation met with North Korean officials in Pyongyang. For now, all signs point to the Summit meeting as planned, but analysts in the Rising Powers had tough words for both sides’ role in the drama.

 

SOUTH KOREA

In a press release, the South Korean Ministry of Foreign Affairs quoted President Moon’s comments on his discussion with Kim: “Chairman Kim made clear once again his intentions to completely denuclearize the Korean Peninsula, as he did in the Panmunjeom Declaration. He expressed his willingness to work together to promote peace and prosperity as well as to put an end to the history of war and confrontation through the success of a North Korea-United States summit.” The press release also emphasized that North and South Korea had also committed to reconvening high-level talks on June 1.

CHINA
In response to questions regarding the possibility of the cancellation of the Summit, Chinese Foreign Ministry Spokesperson Lu Kang said, “[T]he dialogue and détente on the Korean Peninsula at this point are hard-won, we strongly hope that all relevant parties will cherish that and earnestly speak and act in a way that is conducive to ensuring smooth dialogue and achieving positive outcomes. To this end, it is necessary for all relevant parties, the US and the DPRK in particular, to actively meet each other halfway, send out goodwill, and enhance mutual trust.” After President Trump’s formal announcement of his intention to cancel the Summit, Spokesperson Lu was questioned about the suggestions that China played a role in North Korea’s “change in attitude” that prompted Trump’s action. Spokesperson Lu reiterated China’s positions: “China has always played a positive and constructive role on the Korean Peninsula issue without any ulterior motive at all. China stays committed to the goal of the denuclearization of the Peninsula, upholding the peace and stability on the Peninsula and resolving the Peninsula issue through dialogue and negotiation. This position remains unchanged all along. This is what we said more than 10 years ago and keep saying until today; we said so to the leader of the US as well as of the DPRK. At the same time, the political settlement of the Peninsula nuclear issue through dialogue calls for all the relevant parties, especially the directly concerned parties, to meet each other halfway and send goodwill to each other. Relevant parties shall think about how they are doing in this regard.


JAPAN
At a press conference on May 23, 2018, Japanese Foreign Press Secretary Norio Maruyama reiterated Japan’s support for President Trump’s hardline after being questioned about Trump’s suggestion that the Summit be postponed following his meeting with President Moon: “Japan highly values the strong determination shown by President Trump in seeking to elicit concrete actions by North Korea. Japan will continue to firmly convey its views to the United States ahead of the upcoming U.S.-North Korea Summit Meeting and advance preparations with the U.S. side.

INDIA

RUSSIA
In a meeting with editors-in-chief from the state-owned media outlet TASS, Russian President Vladimir Putin argued that high-level meetings between the US and North Korea were essential for the process of denuclearizing the peninsula. President Putin also expressed the need to give North Korea more incentive to cooperate in negotiations: “To my mind, North Korea should be given guarantees of sovereignty and inviolability in order to talk about complete denuclearization of North Korea. […] They are guarantees of an opportunity to decide on their own future.” Russian Deputy Foreign Minister Alexander Pankin echoed these concerns to TASS in an interview: “If we take into account how delicate and sensible the North Korean situation is, this may exacerbate tensions and set back [sic] relations to how they had been several months ago. [That is] when there were talks of worsening military and political tensions, carrying out strikes, estimating the number of victims and other apocalyptic scenarios, which, as we all know, couldn’t just remain local.

 

BRAZIL

  • According to an analyst from the O Globo newspaper, even though Trump’s move to cancel the meeting with Kim Jong Un was brusque, it was a similar way of reacting to North Korea’s hostile statements made against the U.S. in the last few days – such as the criticism issued by the North Korean vice chancellor, calling US Vice President Mike Pence “a dumb politician”. It however would not represent an energetic rejection of the debate among the two countries.
  • The left-oriented online portal Carta Capital highlighted that the decision made by President Trump to call off the meeting with Kim Jong Un came out in the same day that North Korea announced the demolition of an important nuclear complex of the country, although the supposed demolition has not been accompanied by the international press or other independent parties, but only by “invited people.”
  • The supposed ambience of peace that had been established between the U.S. and North Korea was replaced by a succession of various disagreements and controversial pronouncements by authorities from both sides that culminated in the U.S. government cancellation of the meeting with the dictator Kim Jong Un, according to the right-oriented magazine Veja.

RPI acknowledges support from the MacArthur Foundation and the Carnegie Corporation of New York for its activities.